COVID-19: Recovery Patterns in Singapore (2020)

Revision as of 10:17, 19 February 2020 by Dayana Rizal (talk | contribs)

This entry breaks down the recovery patterns and profiles of the discharged COVID-19 individuals in Singapore. As of 18 February 2020, the recovery rate in Singapore stands at ~ 35.8%. This percentage is derived from the number of patients discharged (29) over the total number of cases (81).[1] The mortality rate in Singapore stands at 0% with no recorded deaths from COVID-19. However, there are 4 individuals warded in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) as of 18 February 2020.[2] As this is a developing situation, the numbers and corresponding details will be updated accordingly as per the Ministry of Health's press releases.

Majority of the recovered individuals in Singapore were warded and discharged from the NCID (as of 14 February 2020).

Summary

Recovery benchmark & procedure

According to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID), COVID-19 patients are tested daily. A patient is discharged when their test for COVID-19 returns negative.

Following discharge, the patient still has to follow strict medical procedures. They are to finish their prescribed medication (if given any) and they should wear a mask when in public. These patients should also monitor themselves for the next 14 days. If their condition worsens, they are advised to return to the screening centre.

List of recovered patients

As of 18 February 2020, 29 individuals have recovered from COVID-19. 11 of the 29 recovered patients are Chinese nationals, the rest are Singaporeans. For a full list of confirmed cases in Singapore, refer to COVID-19: Confirmed Cases in Singapore (2020).

Case No. Patient Profile Citizenship Cluster Date Diagnosed Date Discharged Discharged From Refs.
2 53-year-old female Chinese national - 24 January 7 February NCID [3][4]
4 36-year-old male Chinese national - 25 January 12 February Sengkang General Hospital [5][6]
5 56-year-old female Chinese national 27 January 18 February NCID [7][8]
7 35-year-old male Chinese national - 27 January 4 February NCID [9][10]
8 56-year-old female Chinese national The Life Church and Missions Singapore 28 January 18 February NCID [11][12]
10 56-year-old male Chinese national - 29 January 9 February NCID [13][14]
11 31-year-old female Chinese national - 29 January 10 February NCID [15][16]
12 37-year-old female Chinese national - 29 January 12 February NCID [17][18]
13 73-year-old female Chinese national - 30 January 9 February NCID [19][20]
14 31-year-old male Chinese national - 30 January 17 February NCID [21][22]
15 47-year-old female Singaporean Scoot Flight 31 January 17 February NCID [23][24]
17 47-year-old female Singaporean Scoot Flight 31 January 11 February NCID [25][26]
21 44-year-old female Indonesian Yong Thai Hang 4 February 18 February Singapore General Hospital [27][28]
22 41-year-old male Singaporean Scoot Flight 3 February 9 February NCID [29][30]
24 32-year-old female Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 4 February 15 February NCID [31][32]
25 40-year-old male Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 4 February 12 February NCID [33][34]
26 42-year-old female Chinese national - 4 February 9 February NCID [35][36]
29 41-year-old male Singaporean - 5 February 12 February NCID [37][38]
30 27-year-old male Singaporean Grand Hyatt Singapore 6 February 14 February NCID [39][40]
31 53-year-old male Singaporean The Life Church and Missions Singapore 6 February 17 February Changi General Hospital [41][42]
34 40-year-old female Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 7 February 12 February NCID [43][44]
36 38-year-old female Singaporean Grand Hyatt Singapore 7 February 11 February NCID [45][46]
38 52-year-old female Singaporean The Life Church and Missions Singapore 8 February 18 February NCID [47][48]
39 51-year-old male Singaporean Grand Hyatt Singapore 6 February 16 February NCID [49]
40 36-year-old male Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 8 February 12 February NCID [50][51]
45 2-year-old female Singaporean Scoot Flight 10 February 14 February KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital [52][53]
48 34-year-old male Singaporean Grace Assembly of God

(Tanglin and Bukit Batok branches)

11 February 17 February NCID [54]
65 61-year-old female Singaporean DBS Asia Central at MBFC

Mei Hwan Drive

14 February 17 February NCID [55]
76 1-year-old male Singaporean Scoot Flight 16 February 18 February KK Women's and Children's Hospital [56][57]

Age of recovered patients

Recovery rates based on age group

The youngest patient to recover from the infection is 1 year old (Case 76), while the oldest recovered patient is 73 years old (Case 13). The following table classifies all the infected patients according to their age groups and the corresponding number of recovered individuals.

0 - 10 years 11 - 20 years 21 - 30 years 31 - 40 years 41 - 50 years 51 - 60 years 60 years and above Total No.
No. of Infected Individuals 3 1 10 24 14 19 10 81
No. of Recovered Individuals 2 0 1 11 7 6 2 29
Recovery Rate (%) ~ 66.6% 0% 10% ~ 45.8% 50% ~ 31.6% 20% ~ 35.8%

Based on current numbers, the age group with the highest rate of infection is 31 - 40 years old.

Average age

The average age of all the recovered patients is approximately 41 years old.

Average Age
Formula Total Age of All Recovered Patients / Total No. of Patients ~ 41 years old
Calculation 1193 / 29

Median age

The median age of all the recovered patients is 40 years old.

Case No. Citizenship Patient Age Median Age
2 Chinese national 53 years old 40 years old (Case 25, Case 34)
4 Chinese national 36 years old
5 Chinese national 56 years old
7 Chinese national 35 years old
8 Chinese national 56 years old
10 Chinese national 56 years old
11 Chinese national 31 years old
12 Chinese national 37 years old
13 Chinese national 73 years old
14 Chinese national 31 years old
15 Singaporean 47 years old
17 Singaporean 47 years old
21 Indonesian 44 years old
22 Singaporean 41 years old
24 Singaporean 32 years old
25 Singaporean 40 years old
26 Chinese national 42 years old
29 Singaporean 41 years old
30 Singaporean 27 years old
31 Singaporean 53 years old
34 Singaporean 40 years old
36 Singaporean 38 years old
38 Singaporean 52 years old
39 Singaporean 51 years old
40 Singaporean 36 years old
45 Singaporean 2 years old
48 Singaporean 34 years old
65 Singaporean 61 years old
76 Singaporean 1 year old

Recovery time

Key trends

As of 18 February, the fastest recovery time is 2 days (Case 76) and the longest recovery time is 21 days (Case 5). Only 13 individuals took more than 10 days to recover (Case 2, Case 4, Case 5, Case 8, Case 10, Case 11, Case 12, Case 14, Case 15, Case 17, Case 21, Case 24, Case 31). Their ages range from 31 to 56 years old. The table below shows the number of days taken for each discharged patient to recover.

Case No. Patient Age Date Diagnosed Date Discharged Elapsed Days
2 53 years old 24 January 7 February 14
4 36 years old 25 January 12 February 18
5 56 years old 27 January 18 February 21
7 35 years old 27 January 4 February 8
8 56 years old 28 January 18 February 20
10 56 years old 29 January 9 February 11
11 31 years old 29 January 10 February 12
12 37 years old 29 January 12 February 14
13 73 years old 30 January 9 February 10
14 31 years old 30 January 17 February 18
15 47 years old 31 January 17 February 17
17 47 years old 31 January 11 February 11
21 44 years old 4 February 18 February 14
22 41 years old 3 February 9 February 6
24 32 years old 4 February 15 February 11
25 40 years old 4 February 12 February 8
26 42 years old 4 February 9 February 5
29 41 years old 5 February 12 February 7
30 27 years old 6 February 14 February 8
31 53 years old 6 February 17 February 11
34 40 years old 7 February 12 February 5
36 38 years old 7 February 11 February 4
38 52 years old 8 February 18 February 10
39 51 years old 8 February 16 February 8
40 36 years old 8 February 12 February 4
45 2 years old 10 February 14 February 4
48 34 years old 11 February 17 February 6
65 61 years old 14 February 17 February 3
76 1 year old 16 February 18 February 2

Elapsed days refer to the time between when the patient is diagnosed and discharged. The counter starts from the day after the individual tested positive for COVID-19.

Average recovery time

The average recovery time is approximately 10 days.

Average Recovery Time
Formula Total No. of Elapsed Days / Total No. of Patients 10 days
Calculation 290 / 29

Median recovery time

The median recovery time is 8 days.

Case No. Patient Age Date Diagnosed Date Discharged Elapsed Days Median Recovery Time
2 53 years old 24 January 7 February 14 8 days (Case 7, Case 25, Case 30, Case 39)
4 36 years old 25 January 12 February 18
5 56 years old 27 January 18 February 21
7 35 years old 27 January 4 February 8
8 56 years old 28 January 18 February 20
10 56 years old 29 January 9 February 11
11 31 years old 29 January 10 February 12
12 37 years old 29 January 12 February 14
13 73 years old 30 January 9 February 10
14 31 years old 30 January 17 February 18
15 47 years old 31 January 17 February 17
17 47 years old 31 January 11 February 11
21 44 years old 4 February 18 February 14
22 41 years old 3 February 9 February 6
24 32 years old 4 February 15 February 11
25 40 years old 4 February 12 February 8
26 42 years old 4 February 9 February 5
29 41 years old 5 February 12 February 7
30 27 years old 6 February 14 February 8
31 53 years old 6 February 17 February 11
34 40 years old 7 February 12 February 5
36 38 years old 7 February 11 February 4
38 52 years old 8 February 18 February 10
39 51 years old 8 February 16 February 8
40 36 years old 8 February 12 February 4
45 2 years old 10 February 14 February 4
48 34 years old 11 February 17 February 6
65 61 years old 14 February 17 February 3
76 1 year old 16 February 18 February 2

References / Citations

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