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COVID-19: Recovery Patterns in Singapore (2020)

Revision as of 16:32, 14 February 2020 by Dayana Rizal (talk | contribs) (→‎Time taken to recover)

This entry breaks down the recovery patterns and profiles of the discharged COVID-19 individuals in Singapore. As of 14 February 2020, the recovery rate in Singapore stands at ~ 25.9%. This percentage is derived from the number of patients discharged (15) over the total number of cases (58).[1] The mortality rate in Singapore stands at 0% with no recorded deaths from COVID-19. However, there are 8 individuals warded in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) as of 14 February 2020.[2] As this is a developing situation, the numbers and corresponding details will be updated accordingly as per the Ministry of Health's press releases.

14 of the 15 recovered individuals in Singapore were warded and discharged from the NCID (as of 14 February 2020).

Summary

Recovery benchmark & procedure

According to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID), COVID-19 patients are tested daily. A patient is discharged when their test for COVID-19 returns negative.

Following discharge, the patient still has to follow strict medical procedures. They are to finish their prescribed medication (if given any) and they should wear a mask when in public. These patients should also monitor themselves for the next 14 days. If their condition worsens, they are advised to return to the screening centre.

List of recovered patients

As of 14 February 2020, 15 individuals have recovered from COVID-19. 8 of the 15 recovered patients are Chinese nationals, the rest are Singaporeans. For a full list of confirmed cases in Singapore, refer to COVID-19: Confirmed Cases in Singapore (2020).

Case No. Patient Profile Citizenship Cluster Date Diagnosed Date Discharged Discharged From Refs.
2 53-year-old female Chinese national - 24 January 7 February NCID [3][4]
4 36-year-old male Chinese national - 25 January 12 February Sengkang General Hospital [5][6]
7 35-year-old male Chinese national - 27 January 4 February NCID [7][8]
10 56-year-old male Chinese national - 29 January 9 February NCID [9][10]
11 31-year-old female Chinese national - 29 January 10 February NCID [11][12]
12 37-year-old female Chinese national - 29 January 12 February NCID [13][14]
13 73-year-old female Chinese national - 30 January 9 February NCID [15][16]
17 47-year-old female Singaporean Scoot Flight 31 January 11 February NCID [17][18]
22 41-year-old male Singaporean Scoot Flight 3 February 9 February NCID [19][20]
25 40-year-old male Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 4 February 12 February NCID [21][22]
26 42-year-old female Chinese national - 4 February 9 February NCID [23][24]
29 41-year-old male Singaporean - 5 February 12 February NCID [25][26]
34 40-year-old female Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 7 February 12 February NCID [27][28]
36 38-year-old female Singaporean Grand Hyatt Singapore 7 February 11 February NCID [29][30]
40 36-year-old male Singaporean Yong Thai Hang 8 February 12 February NCID [31][32]

Age of recovered patients

Recovery rates based on age group

The youngest patient to recover from the infection is 31 years old (Case 11), while the oldest recovered patient is 73 years old (Case 13). The following table classifies all the infected patients according to their age groups and the corresponding number of recovered individuals.

0 - 10 years 11 - 20 years 21 - 30 years 31 - 40 years 41 - 50 years 51 - 60 years 60 years and above Total No.
No. of Infected Individuals 2 1 5 20 11 14 5 58
No. of Recovered Individuals 0 0 0 8 4 2 1 15
Recovery Rate (%) 0% 0% 0% 40% ~ 36.4% ~ 14.2% 20% ~ 25.9%

Based on current numbers, the age group with the highest rate of infection is 31 - 40 years old. This is also the age group with the highest recovery rate.

Average age

The average age of all the recovered patients is approximately 43 years old.

Average Age
Formula Total Age of All Recovered Patients / Total No. of Patients ~ 43 years old
Calculation 646 / 15

Median age

The median age of all the recovered patients is 40 years old.

Case No. Citizenship Patient Age Median Age
2 Chinese national 53 years old 40 years old (Case 25, Case 34)
4 Chinese national 36 years old
7 Chinese national 35 years old
10 Chinese national 56 years old
11 Chinese national 31 years old
12 Chinese national 37 years old
13 Chinese national 73 years old
17 Singaporean 47 years old
22 Singaporean 41 years old
25 Singaporean 40 years old
26 Chinese national 42 years old
29 Singaporean 41 years old
34 Singaporean 40 years old
36 Singaporean 38 years old
40 Singaporean 36 years old

Time taken to recover

Key trends

As of 14 February, the fastest recovery time is 4 days (Case 36, Case 40) and the longest recovery time is 18 days (Case 4). Only 6 individuals took more than 10 days to recover (Case 2, Case 4, Case 10, Case 11, Case 12, Case 17). Their ages range from 31 to 56 years old. The table below shows the number of days taken for each discharged patient to recover.

Case No. Patient Age Date Diagnosed Date Discharged Elapsed Days
2 53 years old 24 January 7 February 14
4 36 years old 25 January 12 February 18
7 35 years old 27 January 4 February 8
10 56 years old 29 January 9 February 11
11 31 years old 29 January 10 February 12
12 37 years old 29 January 12 February 14
13 73 years old 30 January 9 February 10
17 47 years old 31 January 11 February 11
22 41 years old 3 February 9 February 6
25 40 years old 4 February 12 February 8
26 42 years old 4 February 9 February 5
29 41 years old 5 February 12 February 7
34 40 years old 7 February 12 February 5
36 38 years old 7 February 11 February 4
40 36 years old 8 February 12 February 4

Elapsed days refer to the time between when the patient is diagnosed and discharged. The counter starts from the day after the individual tested positive for COVID-19.

Average time taken to recover

The average time taken to recover is ~ 9.1 days.

Average Time Taken to Recover
Formula Total No. of Elapsed Days / Total No. of Patients ~ 9.1 days
Calculation 137 / 15

Median time taken to recover

The median time taken to recover is 8 days.

Case No. Patient Age Date Diagnosed Date Discharged Elapsed Days Median Time Taken to Recover
2 53 years old 24 January 7 February 14 8 days (Case 7, Case 25)
4 36 years old 25 January 12 February 18
7 35 years old 27 January 4 February 8
10 56 years old 29 January 9 February 11
11 31 years old 29 January 10 February 12
12 37 years old 29 January 12 February 14
13 73 years old 30 January 9 February 10
17 47 years old 31 January 11 February 11
22 41 years old 3 February 9 February 6
25 40 years old 4 February 12 February 8
26 42 years old 4 February 9 February 5
29 41 years old 5 February 12 February 7
34 40 years old 7 February 12 February 5
36 38 years old 7 February 11 February 4
40 36 years old 8 February 12 February 4

References / Citations

  1. ↑ Rei, Kurohi. “Coronavirus: 3 from Yong Thai Hang cluster among 15 discharged so far”. The Straits Times. February 12, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  2. ↑ Abu Baker, Jalelah and Tang, See Kit and Ng, Hong Siang. “3 new cases of COVID-19 in Singapore, including DBS employee, 2 church employees”. Channel NewsAsia. February 12, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  3. ↑ “TWO MORE CASES OF CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASE OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  4. ↑ Khalik, Salma. “Coronavirus in Singapore: Of the 43 cases so far, 26 are male, 17 female; local cases now exceed imported ones”. The Straits Times. February 9, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  5. ↑ “FOURTH CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASE OF WUHAN CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 26, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  6. ↑ “Coronavirus cases in Singapore: Trends, clusters and key numbers to watch”. Channel News Asia. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  7. ↑ “TWO MORE CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASES OF WUHAN CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 28,  2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  8. ↑ “CONFIRMED CASES OF LOCAL TRANSMISSION OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 4, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  9. ↑ “THREE MORE CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASES OF WUHAN CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 29,  2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  10. ↑ Chang, Nicole and Tjendro Johannes. “Coronavirus outbreak: 3 new cases confirmed in Singapore, 4 more discharged”. Channel News Asia. February 9, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  11. ↑ “THREE MORE CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASES OF WUHAN CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 30,  2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  12. ↑ Co, Cindy. "Novel coronavirus in Singapore: What we know about the patients who have fully recovered". Channel News Asia. February 10, 2020. Accessed on 12 February 2020.
  13. ↑ “THREE MORE CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASES OF WUHAN CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 30,  2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  14. ↑ “Coronavirus cases in Singapore: Trends, clusters and key numbers to watch”. Channel News Asia. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  15. ↑ “THREE MORE CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASES OF WUHAN CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. January 30,  2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  16. ↑ Chang, Nicole and Tjendro Johannes. “Coronavirus outbreak: 3 new cases confirmed in Singapore, 4 more discharged”. Channel News Asia. February 9, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  17. ↑ “TWO MORE CONFIRMED IMPORTED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 1, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  18. ↑ Co, Cindy. "Novel coronavirus in Singapore: What we know about the patients who have fully recovered". Channel News Asia. February 10, 2020. Accessed on 12 February 2020.
  19. ↑ Khalik, Salma. “Coronavirus in Singapore: Of the 43 cases so far, 26 are male, 17 female; local cases now exceed imported ones”. The Straits Times. February 9, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  20. ↑ Chang, Nicole and Tjendro Johannes. “Coronavirus outbreak: 3 new cases confirmed in Singapore, 4 more discharged”. Channel News Asia. February 9, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  21. ↑ “FOUR MORE CONFIRMED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 5, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  22. ↑ “Coronavirus cases in Singapore: Trends, clusters and key numbers to watch”. Channel News Asia. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  23. ↑ “FOUR MORE CONFIRMED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 5, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  24. ↑ Chang, Nicole and Tjendro Johannes. “Coronavirus outbreak: 3 new cases confirmed in Singapore, 4 more discharged”. Channel News Asia. February 9, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  25. ↑ “TWO MORE CONFIRMED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 6, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  26. ↑ “Coronavirus cases in Singapore: Trends, clusters and key numbers to watch”. Channel News Asia. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  27. ↑ “SEVEN MORE CONFIRMED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 8, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  28. ↑ “Coronavirus cases in Singapore: Trends, clusters and key numbers to watch”. Channel News Asia. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
  29. ↑ “SEVEN MORE CONFIRMED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 8, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  30. ↑ Co, Cindy. "Novel coronavirus in Singapore: What we know about the patients who have fully recovered". Channel News Asia. February 10, 2020. Accessed on 12 February 2020.
  31. ↑ “SEVEN MORE CONFIRMED CASES OF NOVEL CORONAVIRUS INFECTION IN SINGAPORE”. Ministry of Health. February 8, 2020. Accessed on 10 February 2020.
  32. ↑ “Coronavirus cases in Singapore: Trends, clusters and key numbers to watch”. Channel News Asia. January 24, 2020. Accessed on 13 February 2020.
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