COVID-19: Recovery Patterns in Singapore (2020)

Majority of the recovered individuals in Singapore were warded and discharged from the NCID (as of 14 February 2020).

This entry breaks down the recovery patterns and profiles of the discharged COVID-19 individuals in Singapore. As of 18 February 2020, the recovery rate in Singapore stands at ~ 35.8%. This percentage is derived from the number of patients discharged (29) over the total number of cases (81). The mortality rate in Singapore stands at 0% with no recorded deaths from COVID-19. However, there are 4 individuals warded in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) as of 18 February 2020. As this is a developing situation, the numbers and corresponding details will be updated accordingly as per the Ministry of Health's press releases.

Summary

Recovery benchmark & procedure

According to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID), COVID-19 patients are tested daily. A patient is discharged when their test for COVID-19 returns negative.

Following discharge, the patient still has to follow strict medical procedures. They are to finish their prescribed medication (if given any) and they should wear a mask when in public. These patients should also monitor themselves for the next 14 days. If their condition worsens, they are advised to return to the screening centre.

List of recovered patients

As of 18 February 2020, 29 individuals have recovered from COVID-19. 11 of the 29 recovered patients are Chinese nationals, the rest are Singaporeans. For a full list of confirmed cases in Singapore, refer to COVID-19: Confirmed Cases in Singapore (2020).

Case No.	Patient Profile	Citizenship	Cluster	Date Diagnosed	Date Discharged	Discharged From	Refs.
2	53-year-old female	Chinese national	-	24 January	7 February	NCID
4	36-year-old male	Chinese national	-	25 January	12 February	Sengkang General Hospital
5	56-year-old female	Chinese national		27 January	18 February	NCID
7	35-year-old male	Chinese national	-	27 January	4 February	NCID
8	56-year-old female	Chinese national	The Life Church and Missions Singapore	28 January	18 February	NCID
10	56-year-old male	Chinese national	-	29 January	9 February	NCID
11	31-year-old female	Chinese national	-	29 January	10 February	NCID
12	37-year-old female	Chinese national	-	29 January	12 February	NCID
13	73-year-old female	Chinese national	-	30 January	9 February	NCID
14	31-year-old male	Chinese national	-	30 January	17 February	NCID
15	47-year-old female	Singaporean	Scoot Flight	31 January	17 February	NCID
17	47-year-old female	Singaporean	Scoot Flight	31 January	11 February	NCID
21	44-year-old female	Indonesian	Yong Thai Hang	4 February	18 February	Singapore General Hospital
22	41-year-old male	Singaporean	Scoot Flight	3 February	9 February	NCID
24	32-year-old female	Singaporean	Yong Thai Hang	4 February	15 February	NCID
25	40-year-old male	Singaporean	Yong Thai Hang	4 February	12 February	NCID
26	42-year-old female	Chinese national	-	4 February	9 February	NCID
29	41-year-old male	Singaporean	-	5 February	12 February	NCID
30	27-year-old male	Singaporean	Grand Hyatt Singapore	6 February	14 February	NCID
31	53-year-old male	Singaporean	The Life Church and Missions Singapore	6 February	17 February	Changi General Hospital
34	40-year-old female	Singaporean	Yong Thai Hang	7 February	12 February	NCID
36	38-year-old female	Singaporean	Grand Hyatt Singapore	7 February	11 February	NCID
38	52-year-old female	Singaporean	The Life Church and Missions Singapore	8 February	18 February	NCID
39	51-year-old male	Singaporean	Grand Hyatt Singapore	6 February	16 February	NCID
40	36-year-old male	Singaporean	Yong Thai Hang	8 February	12 February	NCID
45	2-year-old female	Singaporean	Scoot Flight	10 February	14 February	KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital
48	34-year-old male	Singaporean	Grace Assembly of God (Tanglin and Bukit Batok branches)	11 February	17 February	NCID
65	61-year-old female	Singaporean	DBS Asia Central at MBFC Mei Hwan Drive	14 February	17 February	NCID
76	1-year-old male	Singaporean	Scoot Flight	16 February	18 February	KK Women's and Children's Hospital

Age of recovered patients

Recovery rates based on age group

The youngest patient to recover from the infection is 1 year old (Case 76), while the oldest recovered patient is 73 years old (Case 13). The following table classifies all the infected patients according to their age groups and the corresponding number of recovered individuals.

	0 - 10 years	11 - 20 years	21 - 30 years	31 - 40 years	41 - 50 years	51 - 60 years	60 years and above	Total No.
No. of Infected Individuals	3	1	10	24	14	19	10	81
No. of Recovered Individuals	2	0	1	11	7	6	2	29
Recovery Rate (%)	~ 66.6%	0%	10%	~ 45.8%	50%	~ 31.6%	20%	~ 35.8%

Based on current numbers, the age group with the highest rate of infection is 31 - 40 years old.

Average age

The average age of all the recovered patients is approximately 41 years old.

		Average Age
Formula	Total Age of All Recovered Patients / Total No. of Patients	~ 41 years old
Calculation	1193 / 29

Median age

The median age of all the recovered patients is 40 years old.

Case No.	Citizenship	Patient Age	Median Age
2	Chinese national	53 years old	40 years old (Case 25, Case 34)
4	Chinese national	36 years old
5	Chinese national	56 years old
7	Chinese national	35 years old
8	Chinese national	56 years old
10	Chinese national	56 years old
11	Chinese national	31 years old
12	Chinese national	37 years old
13	Chinese national	73 years old
14	Chinese national	31 years old
15	Singaporean	47 years old
17	Singaporean	47 years old
21	Indonesian	44 years old
22	Singaporean	41 years old
24	Singaporean	32 years old
25	Singaporean	40 years old
26	Chinese national	42 years old
29	Singaporean	41 years old
30	Singaporean	27 years old
31	Singaporean	53 years old
34	Singaporean	40 years old
36	Singaporean	38 years old
38	Singaporean	52 years old
39	Singaporean	51 years old
40	Singaporean	36 years old
45	Singaporean	2 years old
48	Singaporean	34 years old
65	Singaporean	61 years old
76	Singaporean	1 year old

Recovery time

Key trends

As of 18 February, the fastest recovery time is 2 days (Case 76) and the longest recovery time is 21 days (Case 5). Only 13 individuals took more than 10 days to recover (Case 2, Case 4, Case 5, Case 8, Case 10, Case 11, Case 12, Case 14, Case 15, Case 17, Case 21, Case 24, Case 31). Their ages range from 31 to 56 years old. The table below shows the number of days taken for each discharged patient to recover.

Case No.	Patient Age	Date Diagnosed	Date Discharged	Elapsed Days
2	53 years old	24 January	7 February	14
4	36 years old	25 January	12 February	18
5	56 years old	27 January	18 February	21
7	35 years old	27 January	4 February	8
8	56 years old	28 January	18 February	20
10	56 years old	29 January	9 February	11
11	31 years old	29 January	10 February	12
12	37 years old	29 January	12 February	14
13	73 years old	30 January	9 February	10
14	31 years old	30 January	17 February	18
15	47 years old	31 January	17 February	17
17	47 years old	31 January	11 February	11
21	44 years old	4 February	18 February	14
22	41 years old	3 February	9 February	6
24	32 years old	4 February	15 February	11
25	40 years old	4 February	12 February	8
26	42 years old	4 February	9 February	5
29	41 years old	5 February	12 February	7
30	27 years old	6 February	14 February	8
31	53 years old	6 February	17 February	11
34	40 years old	7 February	12 February	5
36	38 years old	7 February	11 February	4
38	52 years old	8 February	18 February	10
39	51 years old	8 February	16 February	8
40	36 years old	8 February	12 February	4
45	2 years old	10 February	14 February	4
48	34 years old	11 February	17 February	6
65	61 years old	14 February	17 February	3
76	1 year old	16 February	18 February	2

Elapsed days refer to the time between when the patient is diagnosed and discharged. The counter starts from the day after the individual tested positive for COVID-19.

Average recovery time

The average recovery time is approximately 10 days.

		Average Recovery Time
Formula	Total No. of Elapsed Days / Total No. of Patients	10 days
Calculation	290 / 29

Median recovery time

The median recovery time is 8 days.

Case No.	Patient Age	Date Diagnosed	Date Discharged	Elapsed Days	Median Recovery Time
2	53 years old	24 January	7 February	14	8 days (Case 7, Case 25, Case 30, Case 39)
4	36 years old	25 January	12 February	18
5	56 years old	27 January	18 February	21
7	35 years old	27 January	4 February	8
8	56 years old	28 January	18 February	20
10	56 years old	29 January	9 February	11
11	31 years old	29 January	10 February	12
12	37 years old	29 January	12 February	14
13	73 years old	30 January	9 February	10
14	31 years old	30 January	17 February	18
15	47 years old	31 January	17 February	17
17	47 years old	31 January	11 February	11
21	44 years old	4 February	18 February	14
22	41 years old	3 February	9 February	6
24	32 years old	4 February	15 February	11
25	40 years old	4 February	12 February	8
26	42 years old	4 February	9 February	5
29	41 years old	5 February	12 February	7
30	27 years old	6 February	14 February	8
31	53 years old	6 February	17 February	11
34	40 years old	7 February	12 February	5
36	38 years old	7 February	11 February	4
38	52 years old	8 February	18 February	10
39	51 years old	8 February	16 February	8
40	36 years old	8 February	12 February	4
45	2 years old	10 February	14 February	4
48	34 years old	11 February	17 February	6
65	61 years old	14 February	17 February	3
76	1 year old	16 February	18 February	2